← VGMX Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at VGMX Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
decks
2
(9.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-5-0
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.1%
avg ELO -5.8 per match
expected value
45.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1096
· median 1096
· range 1081–1112
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1023
Q1 1114
Q3 1258
1432
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 9.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.2% | -22.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.6% | +23.4 |
| Fire Astra Ranger | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.0 |
| Slimes | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.5% | -2.4 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.3 |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.5 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
